Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.030899 0.036617 0.042568 0.049186 0.056301 0.063687 0.071902
2026-01-04 0.020984 0.028818 0.037538 0.047775 0.059298 0.071725 0.086008
2026-01-11 0.015880 0.024936 0.035609 0.048672 0.063863 0.080667 0.100387
2026-01-18 0.012040 0.021700 0.033732 0.049017 0.067278 0.087889 0.112463
2026-01-25 0.009161 0.019090 0.032156 0.049325 0.070321 0.094416 0.123512
2026-02-01 0.006738 0.016597 0.030361 0.049063 0.072441 0.099679 0.132941
2026-02-08 0.004203 0.013299 0.027069 0.046575 0.071593 0.101244 0.137904
2026-02-15 0.002772 0.011365 0.025393 0.045964 0.072891 0.105222 0.145565
2026-02-22 0.001916 0.010199 0.024669 0.046503 0.075541 0.110753 0.154997
2026-03-01 0.001287 0.009239 0.024129 0.047201 0.078327 0.116402 0.164529
2026-03-08 0.000917 0.008728 0.024226 0.048738 0.082161 0.123308 0.175542
2026-03-15 0.000552 0.007976 0.023829 0.049512 0.084960 0.128911 0.184972
2026-03-22 0.000521 0.008428 0.025614 0.053610 0.092353 0.140467 0.201903
2026-03-29 0.000124 0.006805 0.023592 0.052082 0.092288 0.142781 0.207732
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.006174 0.023270 0.053012 0.095464 0.149116 0.218418
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005430 0.022613 0.053371 0.097828 0.154406 0.227813
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004751 0.021972 0.053693 0.100102 0.159554 0.237014
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003987 0.021001 0.053418 0.101507 0.163563 0.244791
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002781 0.018686 0.050817 0.099565 0.163209 0.247121
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002168 0.017625 0.050178 0.100317 0.166275 0.253645
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001855 0.017296 0.050742 0.102757 0.171514 0.262856
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001603 0.017080 0.051471 0.105421 0.177034 0.272414
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001513 0.017367 0.053079 0.109350 0.184208 0.284039